Causality, Real Estate Prices, and the Current Account

Main author: Jinjarak, Yothin
Other authors: Sheffrin, Steven
Format: Journal Article           
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id eprints-10639
recordtype eprints
institution SOAS, University of London
collection SOAS Research Online
language English
language_search English
description This paper explores the causal relations between real estate prices and the current account using recently developed econometric methods for recursive systems. Using a variety of high quality real estate indices, we find little evidence that current account deficits (capital account surpluses) directly drove real estate prices in the United States, Spain, and Ireland. There is some evidence for this linkage in England; however it is transitory and not persistent. There is also strong evidence that current account surpluses have direct impacts on mortgage rates in the United States, providing an indirect channel for stimulating the real estate market mediated through the financial markets.
format Journal Article
author Jinjarak, Yothin
author_facet Jinjarak, Yothin
Sheffrin, Steven
authorStr Jinjarak, Yothin
author_letter Jinjarak, Yothin
author2 Sheffrin, Steven
author2Str Sheffrin, Steven
title Causality, Real Estate Prices, and the Current Account
publisher Elsevier
publishDate 2011
url https://eprints.soas.ac.uk/10639/