Fossil energy in economic growth: A study of the energy direction of technical change, 1950-2012

Main author: Semieniuk, Gregor
Format: Monographs and Working Papers           
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id eprints-24061
recordtype eprints
institution SOAS, University of London
collection SOAS Research Online
language English
language_search English
description Climate change mitigation challenges national economies to increase productivity while reducing fossil energy consumption. Fossil energy-saving technical change has been assumed to accomplish this, yet empirical evidence is scarce. This paper investigates the long-run relationship between the rate and direction of technical change with respect to fossil energy and labor in the world economy. Growth rates of labor productivity and the fossil energy-labor ratio are examined for more than 95 of world output between 1950 and 2012. The average elasticity of the energy-labor ratio with respect to labor productivity is close to one, implying highly energy-using technical change, but no trade-o between factor productivity growth rates. This stylized fact suggests the importance of a cheap, abundant energy supply for robust global growth, and a more important role for renewable energy. Integrated assessment models do not incorporate this restriction which may result in poorly speci ed baseline scenarios.
format Monographs and Working Papers
author Semieniuk, Gregor
author_facet Semieniuk, Gregor
authorStr Semieniuk, Gregor
author_letter Semieniuk, Gregor
title Fossil energy in economic growth: A study of the energy direction of technical change, 1950-2012
publisher SPRU - Science Policy Research Unit Working Paper 2016-11
publishDate 2016
url https://eprints.soas.ac.uk/24061/